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GammaLab
23 Ara 2021 13:19

The cavalry to the rescue 

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European natgas comes down hard after reports that an armada of US tankers loaded up with about five million cubic meters of gas is heading towards Europe.

There must be a substantial speculative factor in play, since this should not be news to informed hedgers I would assume. After all those maritime trackers can be purchased for a tiny 20 bucks a month or so..

It certainly also helped that the new German government suddenly seems open to talks with Russia about security guarantees after the usual suspects have ridiculed those demands only a couple days ago.

Attached parts of a joint statement from high energy consumers:

"The energy price crisis has hit most of the European countries. In recent months the energy prices have increased 4 to 5 times, reaching even higher levels over the last days. In parallel, carbon prices have tripled since the beginning of the year. The main reasons for this situation are the financial market speculation from financial players including hedge funds and commodity trading houses, the imbalances in the gas market, seasonally decreased renewable energy production, reduced nuclear energy production, coal mine closures and increased carbon costs passed on in electricity prices. It has consequently forced numerous industrial energy consumers to curtail and/or temporarily close plants.

The ongoing situation has severely impacted the competitiveness and profitability of energy-intensive sectors’ European operations as they are most exposed to dramatic price spikes. Energy costs constitute a high share of their production and activity costs. Therefore, a prolonged period of unbearably high energy prices could lead to severe losses, relocation of European companies and an increase of carbon leakage. Furthermore, the crisis endangers the future of carbon-free investments and jeopardises the existing low-carbon projects in Europe. Swift action is needed to secure the energy-intensive industries’ investments to meet the decarbonisation challenge. Should appropriate funding not be granted, decarbonisation may become an even bigger challenge.

There are many instruments available to EU leaders to address the current energy crisis. The energy-intensive industries call on national authorities to quickly exploit the full potential of the toolbox presented by the European Commission in October. Furthermore, urgent actions are necessary at EU level to enable affected companies to overcome this situation, which is expected to last several months more, and continue investing in energy transition in Europe. Finally, the current situation illustrates the need for a reform of the Emissions Trading System Directive that incorporates measures that ensure effective carbon leakage protection and that prevents sudden increase in EUAs prices that would adversely impact energy costs."
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GammaLab
Interesting take: Putin more or less just said that the crisis is engineered and that Germany is de facto pumping gas back to the Ukraine to re-sell with a huge margin.
Zoen_Trieste
Appreciate this information. Many thanks for the effort.
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