Based on my set of metrics, yesterday registered as 2/3 most oversold condition for the last 5 years! So assuming there is a catalyst to the upside, the chase for performance in the fund space into year end could be massive. This should all come within a deteriorating economic background of growth slowing 4Q18 and 1Q19.. so corrective up
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Most likely depending on today/Monday, an undercut low or some other final low next week (similar to Feb 2018). In any way, from a cyclical aspect 2/3 week of Oct was the expected focal point of max selling pressure
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The decline from the high represents 61% Fib retrace of the upmove from April 4. Typical deep retrace for a running flat C wave.
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Lots of selling last week, but looking at majority of my indicators it does seem a bit more selling is needed next week plus the impulse wave from the high does not look like finished
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Another alternative is this to have been 1 and 2 wave of ED which means Wave 3 to start this week..all corrective waves of course
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What supports this latter one is that we had a deep retrace to 62% for potentially Wave 2..so Wave 3 starts this week then
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Good initial bounce so far
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Testing of resistance turned support now at 2780 was succesful. Good..
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I am thinking 2966/3015 by year end
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Looks like a bearish butterfly pattern tentatively
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Very good day today, the reversal above the midline rising
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The running correction is not invalidated yet. Tomorrow is critical