Der DAX präsentiert sich am heutigen Handelstag stark und konnte eine viel beachtete Marke von 12.800 Punkten überwinden.
Das aktuelle Sentiment sieht wie folgt aus:
============= SENTIMENT: =============
EUWAX:
-56,81 - Das Tagestief lag bisher bei: -59,52 => spricht für eine stark bärische Meinung im Retail-Bereich.
EUREX: PCR: 1,36 bei einem Open Interest von 809,9k
VIX: 12,8 Vor wenigen Tagen bei nahe 19.
VDAX bei 14,78 Noch vor wenigen Tagen stand der VDAX bei ca. 21, als die Angst förmlich greifbar wurde was die politischen Risiken und die US Strafzölle angeblangt.
Wir erinnern uns an den Abverkauf der entsprechender Risiken.
"Tech-Aktien ziehen den Dax nach oben Aktien von Technologiefirmen wie Infineon und SAP sind am Dienstag bei Anlegern besonders gefragt. Doch auch die Deutsche Bank liegt solide im Plus."
Nasdaq kurz vor ATH.
=> Entsprechend notiert der TecDAX gegenwärtig 1,6% im Plus.
"TECH-TASTIC: EUROPE'S TECH SECTOR RIDES GLOBAL WAVE OF OPTIMISM (0953 GMT) Small but mighty, Europe's tech sector has just hit its highest level in 17 years, riding the wave of global tech stocks optimism which pushed the Nasdaq and MSCI World Info Tech index up to record closing highs overnight. The sector index <.SX8P> is up 1.6 percent, on track for its strongest day in nearly two months - and at its highest level since mid-2001, when the dot-com tech bubble was in the late stages of bursting." - (Helen Reid) - Reuters
Der Tech-Sektor erreicht einen Höchststand seit 17 Jahren, was sich am am Sektoren Index bemerkbar macht, welcher um 1,6% zulegen konnte.
=============== US-Strafzölle ==============
"GLOBAL GROWTH TO TRUMP POLITICS? (1042 GMT) As the tentative recovery gathers pace in European stock markets, the feeling is that, for now, risks from Italian politics are going to simmer and fade against a backdrop of steady global economic growth. BlackRock's global chief investment strategist Richard Turnill does note, however, that they expect political uncertainty to weigh on European equity valuations and keep credit spreads wider. "It's too early to assess the economic impact of this looming risk, but political uncertainty may slow regional economic activity and investment, further weighing on European earnings expectations," says Turnill in a note, referring to the risk of European fragmentation. That's why they prefer U.S. and EM equities, and quality firms with exposure to global growth within Europe. As you can see from the chart below, expectations for earnings growth in the euro zone is lagging that of the U.S. and the rest of the world for 2018 " (Kit Rees) - Reuters
=> Politische Risiken rücken aufgrund von stetigem Wachstum in den Hintergrund, die Gefahr einer zurückhaltenden Haltung bei Investitionen und Wachstum in Europa ist gegeben, was Analysten veranlasst gegenwärtig die USA auf übergewichten zu bewerten und Europa neutral einzustufen.
Am 15.06.18 verfallen an der Terminbörse Optionen, sowie Futures laufen aus und es findet ein Cashsettlement statt. Entsprechend interessant ist die gegenwärtige Lage auf der Seite der Stillhalter. Bei 13.000 Punkten stehen im DAX eine enorme Anzahl an geschriebenen PUT-Optionen. Es ist zu erwarten, dass die 13.000 Marke einen interessanten Preisbereich bildet welcher im Vorfeld bis zum Verfall hin Marktteilnehmer auf der institutionellen Seite veranlassen wird sich entsprechend abzuhedgen oder ein Überlaufen dieser, zu begünstigen.
Das Open Interest liegt beim Juni Verfall was die Optionen anbelangt bei 809,9k.
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de.reuters.com/article/eurozone-einzelhandel-idDEKCN1J110J "Für den dritten Anstieg in Folge sorgte in erster Linie Deutschland: Europas größte Volkswirtschaft wies mit 2,3 Prozent das größte Plus aus. Den stärksten Rückgang gab es in Portugal mit 4,1 Prozent."
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Der Spread zwischen 10 jährigen italienischen und deutschen Anleihen weitet sich gegenwärtig aus. Risiko wird im Markt eingepreist. Italien40 gegenwärtig ein halbes prozent im Minus.
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"Italien Conte kündigt Änderung der Schuldenpolitik an"
Bundesregierung erwartet EU-Geschlossenheit bei G7-Gipfel
"Berlin (Reuters) - Die Bundesregierung geht davon aus, dass die europäischen Teilnehmer des G7-Gipfels in Handelsfragen geschlossen auftreten werden. "
Bedeutet in diesem Zusammenhang, dass bis zur Hälfte der aktuell ausstehenden Schulden über die EZB als Stützung bei entsprechenden Risiken, angekauft werden könnten.
Im Handelsstreit mit den Vereinigten Staaten holt Europa zum Gegenschlag aus:
Die EU-Gegenmaßnahmen auf die US-Schutzzölle für Stahl und Aluminium treten nach Angaben aus Brüssel schon Ende der Woche in Kraft. Wie wird der US-Präsident reagieren?
n-tv.de/wirtschaft/EU-Zoelle-auf-US-Waren-gelten-ab-Freitag-article20489575.html
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GEOPOLITICS - „Trumps“ trade war:
Trump sticks with hard line on trade as showdown looms at G7
U.S. President Donald Trump is not backing down from the tough line he has taken on trade, the White House's top economic adviser said on Wednesday, setting the stage for a showdown with top allies at this week's G7 summit in Canada.
The meeting on Friday and Saturday in Charlevoix, Quebec, will be the first chance G7 leaders have had to confront Trump in person since U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada, Mexico and the European Union were imposed last week.
That move unleashed fury in the Group of Seven industrialized nations and prompted quick retaliation from Canada and Mexico and a promise from the EU to do so as well, unnerving investors who fear a trade war that could derail the global economy.
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, the summit host, and British Prime Minister Theresa May, who will also attend, are among those to sharply criticize the U.S. tariffs as unjustified and punitive.
"There are disagreements. He's sticking to his guns. And he's going to talk to them," Larry Kudlow,
Trump's top economic adviser, told reporters in Washington.
Trump, who has vowed to protect U.S. industry and workers from what he describes as unfair international competition as part of an "America First" agenda, is due to hold bilateral meetings with Trudeau and French President Emmanuel Macron during the summit, Kudlow said.
A French presidency official said that while G7 members would raise their unhappiness over the tariffs with Trump, they would not deliver an ultimatum that he drop them because the summit "isn't the place where you negotiate things like that."
investing.com/news/economy-news/trade-disputes-cast-chill-over-g7-leaders-summit-in-canada-1483040
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MARKETS:
Wall Street rises on economic data, easing trade worries
Wall Street indexes rallied on Wednesday with help from financial stocks as investors eyed strong economic data and trade war fears took a back seat while the Nasdaq registered its third straight record closing high.
White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said late in the trading day that U.S. President Donald Trump will meet French President Emmanuel Macron and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau during a G7 summit this week.
While he said Trump is not backing down from the tough line he has taken on trade, the comments appeared to calm investors.
Earlier reports citing sources said U.S. officials were weighing an offer by China to import an extra $70 billion of American goods over a year as Beijing tries to defuse a potential trade war.
"The trade rhetoric has once again dialed back," said Mona Mahajan, U.S. Investment Strategist, Allianz (DE:ALVG) Global Investors, New York. "It's the on-again off-again threat of protectionism. It's off again."
investing.com/news/stock-market-news/futures-rise-on-signs-of-cooling-trade-tensions-1482317
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Geopolitics:
"Trumps Trade War"
Republicans in tight U.S. House races feel heat from Mexican tariffs
Mexican tariffs are roiling U.S. congressional campaigns in states where U.S. exporters could take a hit and President Donald Trump's Republicans face tough races in November congressional elections.
Mexico announced the levies this week in retaliation to Trump's decision to slap tariffs on metal imports from Mexico and other countries. They fall on only about $3 billion in U.S. exports, but were crafted to have a "very specific" focus on vulnerable Republicans, said one senior Mexican official who asked not to be named.
GEOPOLITICS: "Trumps Trade War" - Argumentationsproblem für Trump beim G7 Gipfel am Freitag und Samstag in Kanada.
Rising exports push U.S. trade deficit to seven-month low
The U.S. trade deficit fell to a seven-month low in April as exports rose to a record high, lifted by an increase in shipments of industrial materials and soybeans.
The Commerce Department said on Wednesday the trade gap dropped 2.1 percent to $46.2 billion, the smallest since September. Data for March was revised to show the trade deficit falling to $47.2 billion, instead of the previously reported $49.0 billion.
The government also revised trade data going back to 2010. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the trade deficit unchanged at $49 billion in April.
When adjusted for inflation, the trade gap narrowed to $77.5 billion from $78.2 billion in March. The so-called real trade deficit is below its $82.5 billion average in the first quarter.
If the trend in the real trade deficit is maintained, trade could contribute to gross domestic product in the second quarter after having a neutral impact in the January-March period.
Strong data ranging from manufacturing to consumer spending and the labor market have led the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta to estimate that economic growth in the second quarter will top a 4.0 percent annualized rate. The economy grew at a 2.2 percent pace in the first quarter.
But a protectionist trade policy being pursued by President Donald Trump poses a threat to the otherwise rosy economic outlook. Trump in March announced tariffs for steel and aluminum imports to protect domestic industries from what he says is unfair competition from foreign producers.
investing.com/news/economic-indicators/us-trade-deficit-falls-to-sevenmonth-low-1482427
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China reportedly offered to buy nearly $70 billion of US agriculture, energy products
China would buy nearly $70 billion worth of U.S. agriculture and energy products if the Trump administration steps back from tariffs, The Wall Street Journal reported Tuesday, citing sources briefed on the latest talks with U.S. trade officials.
The Chinese negotiators proposed a package in which the country bought more U.S. farm and energy products such as soybeans, corn, natural gas, crude oil and coal, the Journal said.
The U.S.-China talks focused on reducing the United States' $375.2 billion trade deficit with China "by facilitating the supply of agricultural and energy products to meet China's growing consumption needs," the White House said in a statement Monday.
EU-Zölle auf US-Waren gelten ab Freitag
Im Handelsstreit mit den Vereinigten Staaten holt Europa zum Gegenschlag aus:
Die EU-Gegenmaßnahmen auf die US-Schutzzölle für Stahl und Aluminium treten nach Angaben aus Brüssel schon Ende der Woche in Kraft. Wie wird der US-Präsident reagieren?
n-tv.de/wirtschaft/EU-Zoelle-auf-US-Waren-gelten-ab-Freitag-article20489575.html