Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis

🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Bearish
Key Levels:
Resistance: $86,500, $90,600
Support: $84,500, $82,000
Indicators:
MACD: Negative, showing bearish momentum
RSI: 43.3, oversold zone approaching
EMA 200: Acting as resistance, rejection near $90,600
Liquidity & Volume:
Strong sell-offs with increased bearish volume
Market makers possibly driving price lower before a rebound
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping (Short Bias)

Entry: Sell near $85,000
Target: $84,000, $83,500
Stop-loss: Above $85,600
Potential Profit: ~1.2% - 1.8%
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping

Entry: If BTC breaks below $84,000
Target: $82,500
Stop-loss: Above $84,500
Potential Profit: ~1.8%
🩸 3. EMA & VWAP Scalping

Entry: Short when price rejects EMA 200 ($86,500)
Target: $84,200
Stop-loss: Above $87,000
Potential Profit: ~2.6%
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If BTC holds $84,500, expect consolidation before potential rebound
If breakdown occurs, $82,000 is the next major support
Only a confirmed breakout above $90,600 will shift momentum bullish
🔥 News & Market Context:
Increased selling pressure from institutions
Possible market manipulation before ETF-related movements
Global market sentiment leaning risk-off
🔥 Profit Calculation:
Average scalping trades yield 1.2% - 2.6% per position
Risk-reward ratio: 1:2 or better in most setups
🔥 Trade Rating (1-10):
🩸 Momentum Scalping: 8/10 – Strong setup, but needs volume confirmation
🩸 Breakout Scalping: 7/10 – Good setup if BTC loses $84,000 support
🩸 EMA/VWAP Scalping: 9/10 – High probability short near EMA 200

Final Score: 8/10 – High potential trade, but requires tight risk management

🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Favoring shorts near resistance
🩸 Mid-term: Cautious, potential for breakdown
🩸 Ideal Play: Scalp shorts near $85,000-$86,500

👑 Final Verdict:
The market is not in favor of long positions. Smart money is distributing, and retail traders are being trapped in fake recoveries. Stay disciplined.

🔥 FinCaesar's Statement:
"The weak chase the pumps. The strong anticipate the dumps."